Air Cargo Demand up 8.2% in November 2024 – 16th Month of Consecutive Growth

Geneva – The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released data for November 2024 global air cargo markets showing:

• Total demand, measured in cargo tonne-kilometers (CTK), rose by 8.2% compared to November 2023 levels (9.5% for international operations) for a 16th consecutive month of growth.
• Capacity, measured in available cargo tonne-kilometers (ACTK), increased by 4.6% compared to November 2023 (6.5% for international operations).

“It was a good November for air cargo with 8.2% demand growth nearly doubling the 4.6% growth in cargo capacity. Fuel costs tracked at 22% below previous-year levels and tight market conditions supported yield growth at 7.8%. All things considered we are looking to close out 2024 air cargo performance on a profitable note. While this strong performance is very likely to extend into 2025, there are some downside risks that must be carefully watched. These include inflation, geopolitical uncertainties and trade tensions,” said Willie Walsh, IATA’s Director General.

Several factors in the operating environment should be noted:

• Year-on-year, industrial production rose 2.1% in October. Global goods trade grew for a seventh consecutive month, reporting a 1.6% increase.
• The Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for global manufacturing output was above the 50-mark for November, indicating growth. However, the PMI for new export orders remained below the 50-mark, suggesting ongoing uncertainty and weakness in global trade.
• US headline inflation, based on the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose by 0.1 percentage points to 2.7% in November. In the same month, the inflation rate in the EU increased by 0.2 percentage points to 2.5%. China’s consumer inflation fell to 0.2% in November, continuing concerns of an economic slowdown.

Air cargo market in detail – November 2024

November 2024

(% year-on-year)             World share1     CTK        ACTK     CLF (%-pt)           CLF (level)

Total Market      100%     8.2%      4.6%      1.6%      49.0%

Africa    2.0%      -0.7%     0.4%      -0.5%     42.5%

Asia Pacific          33.3%    13.2%    9.4%      1.7%      50.0%

Europe 21.4%    5.6%      4.3%      0.7%      57.6%

Latin America     2.8%      11.6%    6.4%      1.9%      39.6%

Middle East        13.5%    3.6%      -0.6%     2.0%      49.4%

North America  26.9%    6.9%      2.2%      1.9%      43.8%

1% of industry CTKs in 2023

Asia-Pacific airlines saw 13.2% year-on-year demand growth for air cargo in November, the strongest growth among the regions. Capacity increased by 9.4% year-on-year.

North American carriers saw 6.9% year-on-year demand growth for air cargo in November. Capacity increased by 2.2% year-on-year.

European carriers saw 5.6% year-on-year demand growth for air cargo in November. Capacity increased 4.3% year-on-year.

Middle Eastern carriers saw 3.6% year-on-year demand growth for air cargo in November. Capacity decreased by 0.6% year-on-year.

Latin American carriers saw 11.6% year-on-year demand growth for air cargo in November. Capacity increased 6.4% year-on-year.

African airlines saw a 0.7% year-on-year decrease in demand for air cargo in November, the slowest among regions. Capacity increased by 0.4% year-on-year.

Trade Lane Growth: International routes experienced exceptional traffic levels for the 16th consecutive month with a 9.5% year-on-year increase in November. Airlines are benefiting from rising e-commerce demand in the US and Europe amid ongoing capacity limits in ocean shipping.

Trade Lane          YOY Growth       Notes    Market Share of Industry*

Asia-North America        +13%     13 consecutive months of growth            24.90%

Europe-Asia       +12.9% 21 consecutive months of growth            19.60%

Middle East-Europe        +9.9%    16 consecutive months of growth            5.00%

Middle East-Asia              +9.0%    18 consecutive months of growth            7.20%

Within Asia         +12.2% 13 consecutive months of growth            6.70%

North America-Europe  +5.6%    13 consecutive months of growth            14.20%

Africa-Asia          +7.6%    15 consecutive months of growth            1.20%